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Message: Entry: Ron Paul: It's Payback Time Link: http://www.takimag.com/site/article/ron_paul_its_payback_time#11234 Post contents: There is a good case for Dr. Paul paying spoiler to Guiliani and running third party, but the problem with this scenario is that Huckabee looks like the main frontrunner right now. Barring an unexpected meltdown, Huckabee is going to win Iowa, do well in New Hampshire, win in South Carolina, and take the entire bible belt South for starters. Huckabee is also getting tons of media coverage (generally favorable) and he has the powerful evangelical faction of the Religious Right in his pocket (so much for Pat Robertson's Guiliani endorsement). Guiliani, on the other hand, is dropping like a stone in the polls and defending himself again in his latest corruption scandal. I don't see Ron Paul giving his formal support to Huckabee because of support for war and big government, but I don't see him playing spoiler either. He will probably focus on building RP revolution within the Republican Party (which may be potentially a voting bloc as big as the Religious Right). Moreover, Ron Paul in face of all the chaos of Republican race is steadily climbing in the polls (the MSM have steadfastly refused to acknowledge this trend), and contributions and volunteers (off line and online) continue to pour in. Given the positive trends and high intensity of Dr. Paul's support and the general chaos of the race, he could engineer a major upset in Iowa or New Hampshire. Sent at: 2008 05 15