Grant Havers

Ron Paul’s Pyrrhic Defeat

Posted by Grant Havers on May 15, 2008

When I first started to read various articles from American Conservatism: An Encyclopedia (2006) I was both pleased and amused to discover that a fine article by Jeremy Beer had been devoted to the thought of George Grant (1918-1988). Pleased, because I believed that this Canadian Tory philosopher deserved considerable attention and appreciation from conservatives of all nations and cultures. Amused, because here was an encyclopedia of American conservatism that included an article on a Canadian nationalist who doubted that there even was such a thing as American conservatism! As a descendant of the old Tory ruling class which once dominated Canadian politics, Grant believed that the republic to the south had been far too revolutionary and liberal to merit the accolade of possessing a “conservative tradition.” Many bloggers on this site have made similar claims to those of Grant, and I won’t repeat these here.

I bring up the thought of Grant for a different reason than that of rehashing debates over which nation—Canada or America—once had the “real” conservatism. My purpose is to warn against the temptation of drawing parallels between conservative movements, past and present. Having noticed various favorable predictions of the future success of the Ron Paul movement on this site and elsewhere, I was struck by the prediction of a few admirers of Dr. Paul that his movement was in the “Goldwater” stage. That is to say, even though defeat of Paul at the GOP convention is a foregone conclusion, the overall appeal of his movement will presumably build a new vanguard of supporters (especially among the young) who will eventually revive true conservatism in America, just as Goldwater’s massive defeat in 1964 foreshadowed the emergence of a new and successful conservatism that lasted until the Bush hegemony finished it off.

Now George Grant had some interesting observations about the Goldwater debacle. In his deeply pessimistic book, Lament For A Nation: The Defeat Of Canadian Nationalism, which appeared one year after the GOP defeat of 1964, Grant made it clear that the Goldwater massacre was not a victory in disguise, anymore than the defeat of the conservative prime minister John Diefenbaker in the Canadian election of 1963 presaged a golden age of Toryism. Instead, he dismissed it as “the last-ditch stand of a local culture,” since most of the votes for the GOP had come from the South. Grant laid much of the blame on the naivete of the Goldwater camp itself, especially their failure to grasp what they were up against.

The older liberalism had its swan song in the election of 1964. The classes that had opposed Roosevelt were spent forces by 1964. [...] Goldwater’s cry for limited government seemed as antediluvian to the leaders of the corporations as Diefenbaker’s nationalism seemed to the same elements in Canada. [...] The Goldwater camp was outraged by the sustained attacks of the television networks and newspaper chains. Were they not aware who had become the American establishment since 1932?  Corporation capitalism and liberalism go together by the nature of things. The establishment knew how to defend itself when threatened by the outrageous challenge of outsiders from Arizona. The American election of 1964 is sufficient evidence that the United States is not a conservative society. It is a dynamic empire spearheading the age of progress.

Of course, this “establishment” consisted of the left-liberal managers of the warfare/welfare state which came into existence in America in the 1930s (minus the warfare element, a virtually identical type of state came into being in Canada at the same time). No one on the right denies the power of this elite. Still, it may be easy to sneer at Grant’s pessimism. Did not the GOP build a new “republican majority” energized by millions of disaffected Southern whites out of the ashes of the Goldwater defeat?  And did not this majority go on to win several elections for the GOP for almost forty years after the blow-out of 1964? And can’t the Paulist legions do it all again?

Well, it is hard to glean from the evidence of the last 40 years that the establishment which Goldwater went up against has been challenged in any significant way. As it turns out, Grant correctly surmised that this power elite would consume any serious right-wing opposition (as Goldwater, Diefenbaker, Manning, and Buchanan have all discovered). Big government is even bigger than it was in 1964, fewer differences on foreign and domestic policy exist between the two political parties than they did in 1964, and GOP administrations have alienated traditional conservative voting blocs on a host of issues (of course none of this is news to takimag writers and bloggers!)

Perhaps, after all, a cigar is just a cigar, and the Goldwater defeat was truly a defeat, rather than a prelude to true victory. And perhaps Ron Paul supporters (among whom I include myself) ought to retire the “Goldwater” parallel, lest history truly repeat itself with a new defeat for American conservatism in the third millennium. 

Comments

I’m delighted that Grant does not buy the “movement conservative” fiction that
Goldwater triumphed despite his defeat because of Reagan’s victory, the establishment of
the Heritage Foundation, or the appearance of David Brooks and Bill Kristol among the
contributors to the New York Times editorial section. Goldwater never triumphed
since the Republican Party and the conservative movement ran to make their peace with an
expanding welfare state after the Arizona senator got pummeled in the 1964
presidential race. The one who triumphed after being defeated was McGovern, whose party
has now moved to the left of him.

Professor Gottfried,
Actually McGovern, according to Ron Paul in The Revolution, has come around to a libertarian position in addition to his consistent anti-war positions so I’m not sure what you mean by “McGovern.”
IMOHP, the libertarian position is American conservatism: the rule of law and leave us alone. No need for funny hats, Franz Ferdinands or Tory dyspepsia and colonic rage. I love Blessed Evelyn but he was an alcoholic novelist, not a lawgiver.

Posted by Dan on May 15, 2008.

Click to flag this comment as abusive

Dan wrote “...the libertarian position is American conservatism: the rule of law and leave us alone.”

Finally, the truth.

One can indeed say (as David Frum has admitted), that after Goldwater, conservatism didn’t so
much triumph as liberalism collapsed of its own weight, contradictions and divisions.

Poltically speaking, the forces of the conservative movement may won the GOP nomination
in 1964. And may have won the White House in 1980 and helped the GOP keep the White House
in 1988 and 2004. But culturally speaking, nothing changed and if anything went in the
opposite direction. Goldwater was a never a cultural candidate. Reagan was a culutral
candidate but the forces supporting him were more wrapped up in politics and power games
and thus never changed the broader culture. Ask yourself this question, why is that the
“conservative movement” has to keep fighting to take over the GOP? Haven’t they already
done that many times before? Why do they keep “losing” it?

Right now the Ron Paul movement is a political movement, one that will outlast him. Whether it
becomes a cultural movement remains to be seen. But at least one can say that since he’s’
run a campaign outside the traditional conservative movement structure (which has become
an establishment, not a movement)which includes libertarian elements as well traditional
conservative, the final chapter of Paul’s movement is a long way from being written. One
cannot compare it to past.

Well, a big part of the Paul campaign was about economics, and nothing concentrates the mind quite like bankruptcy and causes the spendthrift to suddenly realise the error of his ways. With the financial condition of the nation well on the road to catastrophe and the young realizing that they’re on the hook for the bill, perhaps there will be what will come to be described as a ‘Paul’ moment, when true change will take place, if only for a generation or two.
The only thing certain is that something has to change; today, anyone who believes in fiscal prudence is classified as a loony by the ‘intellectuals’ and the press.

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